Archive for August, 2009

New Home Sales Surge 9.6% in July

August 27th, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com

New U.S. home sales surged 9.6 percent in July, rising for the fourth straight month
and beating expectations as the housing market shows continuing signs of rebounding from its historic downturn.

The Commerce Department said Wednesday that sales rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 433,000 from an upwardly revised
June rate of 395,000. Sales are now up 32 percent from the bottom in January, but off 69 percent from the frenzied peak four years ago. (more…)

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Strong Gain in Existing-Home Sales

August 21st, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com

For the first time in five years, existing-home sales have increased for four months in a row, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.24 million units in July from a level of 4.89 million in June. Sales are 5.0 percent above the 4.99 million-unit pace in July 2008. The last time sales rose for four consecutive months was in June 2004, and the last time sales were higher than a year earlier was November 2005.

Largest Gain in a Decade

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said he is encouraged. “The housing market has decisively turned for the better. A combination of first-time buyers taking advantage of the housing stimulus tax credit and greatly improved affordability conditions are contributing to higher sales,” he said.

The monthly sales gain was the largest on record for the total existing-home sales series dating back to 1999.

“Because price-to-income ratios have fallen below historical trends, there are more all-cash offers. In some recovering markets like San Diego, Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Orlando, the demand for foreclosed and lower-priced homes has spiked, and a lack of inventory is becoming a common complaint,” Yun said.

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.22 percent in July from 5.42 percent in June. The rate was 6.43 percent in July 2008.

“First-Time Buyer Tax Credit is Working”

An NAR practitioner survey showed first-time buyers purchased 30 percent of homes in July, and that distressed homes accounted for 31 percent of transactions. NAR President Charles McMillan said the first-time buyer tax credit is working. “In addition to first-time buyers, we’re also seeing increased activity by repeat buyers. While many entry-level buyers are focused on the discounted prices of distressed homes, they’re also freeing some existing owners to sell and make a move,” he said.

“Realtors are the best resource for consumers in these changing market conditions because the transaction process has become more complex. Since it’s now taking longer to complete a home sale, first-time buyers who want to take advantage of the $8,000 tax credit should try to make contract offers by the end of September,” McMillan said. “Otherwise, they may miss the November 30 closing deadline.”

Inventory Up, Prices Down

Total housing inventory at the end of July rose 7.3 percent to 4.09 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.4-month supply at the current sales pace, which was unchanged from June because of the strong sales gain. Raw inventory totals are 10.6 percent lower than a year ago when the number of unsold homes was at a record.

The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $178,400 in July, which is 15.1 percent lower than July 2008. Distressed properties continue to weigh down the median price because they typically sell for 15 to 20 percent less than traditional homes.

Single-Family Homes and Condos

Single-family home sales increased 6.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.61 million in July from a pace of 4.33 million in June, and are 5.0 percent higher than the 4.39 million-unit level in July 2008. The median existing single-family home price was $178,300 in July, which is 14.6 percent below a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales jumped 12.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 630,000 units in July from 560,000 in June, and are 5.9 percent above the 595,000-unit level a year ago. The median existing condo price was $178,800 in July, down 18.9 percent from July 2008.

By Region:
The Northeast surged 13.4 percent to an annual pace of 930,000 in July, and are 3.3 percent higher than July 2008. The median price in the Northeast was $236,700, down 15.0 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the Midwest jumped 10.9 percent in July to a level of 1.22 million and are 8.0 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $157,200, which is 5.9 percent less than July 2008.
In the South, existing-home sales rose 7.1 percent to an annual pace of 1.95 million in July and are 5.4 percent higher than July 2008. The median price in the South was $164,500, down 7.1 percent from a year ago.
Existing-home sales in the West slipped 1.7 percent to an annual rate of 1.13 million in July, but are 1.8 percent above a year ago. The median price in the West was $202,300, which is 28.0 percent below July 2008.

Source: NAR

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Average Buyers Can Afford Most Homes

August 21st, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com
Housing is remarkably affordable these days.

A family earning the nation’s median income of $64,000 a year could afford to buy 72.3 percent of all homes sold in the United States during the second quarter of 2009, according to the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo. (more…)

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Housing market stability just around the corner

August 18th, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com

Price stability emerged in most areas of Texas, California and the Northeast, according to a recent study by California-based John Burns Real Estate Consulting. Florida and Midwest was close behind. The Northwest, Southeast, Southwest and outlying areas in all submarkets continue to struggle.

According to the study, sales per community have not changed much for several months and starts are increasing in seven of the 10 regions. The survey also shows that Federal intervention is having a positive impact on the housing market. “The phrase ‘tax credit’ dominates in the verbatim comments we got from builders,” said CEO John Burns. “We continue to expect improving conditions for the next several months as the November 30 tax credit deadline approaches.” (more…)

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First month-over-month increase in unit sales since 2005

August 14th, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at REAL Trends
For the first time in four years, the number of closed unit sales was up from the same period in the prior year according to REAL Trends, signaling that a floor may have been reached in the housing market.

Nationally, unit sales were up 2.8 percent in July 2009 over July 2008. The Western region again showed the greatest strength with unit sales up 12.3 percent, while the Midwest region showed the greatest improvement with unit sales climbing 3.7 percent over last July. The average home price declined 10.4 percent, a huge improvement over the decline recorded in June 2009 of 16.5 percent. The Western region saw the biggest improvement with prices down 11.3 percent versus the decline of 26.1 percent in the prior month. The Southern region also saw improvement with home prices down only 8.7 percent versus a decline of 9.7 percent in June 2009. The Midwest remained at 10.9 percent while the Northeast continues to see softness in pricing with an average decline of 13.9 percent and increase over the decline of 10.9 percent last month.

“July 2009 is the first month in four years where unit sales increased over the same month a year ago. With June being nearly equal and July showing a small increase in unit sales there is evidence that home sales have found a floor. These results are very encouraging. While home prices continue to decline they are doing so at a slower rate than at any time in the last year, another signal that, at least for the moment, the housing market shows signs of stabilizing,” says Steve Murray, editor of REAL Trends.

“This is clearly the best month of results that we have seen since we first started publishing the REAL Trends Housing Market Report two years ago. While we know that there are substantial challenges ahead, with a predicted rise in foreclosures and continued downward pressure on prices as a result, it would appear that we are closer to the floor of this recession in housing than we have been at any time in the last four years.”

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Second Quarter Existing-Home Sales Rise

August 13th, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com
WASHINGTON – Existing-home sales in the second quarter showed healthy gains from the first quarter in the vast majority of states, and price declines have increased affordability in most metro areas, according to the latest survey by the National Association of REALTORS®.

Total state existing-home sales, including single-family and condo properties, rose 3.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.76 million units in the second quarter from 4.58 million units in the first quarter, but remain 2.9 percent below the 4.90 million-unit pace in the second quarter of 2008.

Thirty-nine states experienced sales increases from the first quarter, and nine states were higher than a year ago; the District of Columbia showed both quarterly and annual rises.

Gain Appears to Be Sustainable
“With low interest rates, lower home prices, and a first-time buyer tax credit, we’ve been seeing healthy increases in home sales, which are a hopeful sign for the economy,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “There have been sustained sales gains in Arizona, Nevada, and Florida, as well as diverse areas such as Maryland, the District of Columbia, and Nebraska. More recently, we’ve seen strong double-digit gains in Idaho, Utah, New Mexico, Washington, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Maine, Vermont, Wisconsin, Indiana, South Dakota, and Montana.”

Yun also explained housing’s impact on the overall economy. “Given the need for related goods and services, each home sale pumps an additional $63,000 into the economy – that’s how the housing engine traditionally pulls us out of recession. In addition, sales are drawing down inventory and that will help stabilize home values, which in turn will lessen foreclosure pressure and boost credit availability for other sectors of the economy.”

Distressed Sales
During the second quarter, 129 out of 155 metropolitan statistical areas reported lower median existing single-family home prices in comparison with the second quarter of 2008, while 26 areas had price gains.

Distressed sales – foreclosures and short sales – accounted for 36 percent of transactions in the second quarter, which continued to weigh down median home prices because they typically are sold at a 15 to 20 percent discount; first-time buyers accounted for one-third of transactions. The national median existing single-family price was $174,100, which is 15.6 percent below the second quarter of 2008.

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate on a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage declined to a record low 5.03 percent in the second quarter from 5.06 percent in the first quarter; the rate was 6.09 percent in the second quarter of 2008.

NAR President Charles McMillan said there are unique opportunities in the current market. “Housing affordability is hovering near record highs and there’s a wide selection of homes, but first-time buyers need to move quickly to take advantage of the $8,000 tax credit because they have to finalize the transaction by November 30,” he said. “Various state, local, and nonprofit programs target first-time buyers, and a REALTOR® can help you identify the programs and financing options that are currently available in your area.”

The largest sales gain between the first and second quarters were in:
Idaho, up 67.5 percent
Hawaii, up 24.2 percent
New York, up 22.3 percent
Wisconsin, up 21.7 percent
Nebraska, up 20.3 percent

Twelve other states experienced double-digit sales increases from the first quarter. Year over year, California, Minnesota, and Michigan are showing double-digit gains from the second quarter of 2008 but are off from the first quarter of this year.

The largest single-family home price increase in the second quarter was in the Davenport-Moline-Rock Island area of Iowa and Illinois, where the median price of $113,200 rose 30.6 percent from a year ago. Next was the Cumberland area of Maryland and West Virginia at $123,500, up 21.7 percent from the second quarter of 2008, followed by Elmira, N.Y., where the median price increased 11.3 percent to $85,000.

Price Gains and Declines
“The sharpest price declines continue to be concentrated in metros with high levels of foreclosures, including areas in California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada, where distressed homes comprise many of the transactions,” Yun said.

Median second-quarter metro area single-family home prices ranged from a very affordable $55,700 in the Saginaw-Saginaw Township North area of Michigan to $569,500 in Honolulu. The second most expensive area in the second quarter was the San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara area of California, at $500,000, followed by San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont at $472,900.

Other affordable markets include the Youngstown-Warren-Boardman area of Ohio and Pennsylvania at $71,500, and Lansing-East Lansing, Mich., at $81,200.

“Recently sold homes are concentrated in lower price ranges. The median price may not be representative of overall values in a given area because many middle-priced homes are not on the market,” Yun clarified.

Condo Market
In the condo sector, metro-area condominium and cooperative prices – covering changes in 57 metro areas – showed the national median existing-condo price was $176,900 in the second quarter, down 19.8 percent from the second quarter of 2008. Four metros showed annual increases in the median condo price and 53 areas had declines.

The metros with condo price increases were:
Virginia Beach, Va.
Wichita, Kan.
Dallas
Colorado Springs, Colo.

Metro-area median existing-condo prices in the second quarter ranged from $66,400 in Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev., to $405,700 in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont. The second most expensive reported condo market was Honolulu at $318,400, followed by Boston-Cambridge-Quincy at $277,400.

Other affordable condo markets include the Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville area of California at $101,200 in the second quarter, and Tucson, Ariz., at $102,500.

Northeast
Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast jumped 15.0 percent in the second quarter to a pace of 797,000 units but are 8.4 percent below a year ago.

The median existing single-family home price in the Northeast declined 9.7 percent to $246,000 in the second quarter from the same quarter in 2008. After Elmira, N.Y., the best gain in the region was in Buffalo-Niagara Falls, N.Y., where the median price of $115,400 rose 6.7 percent from the second quarter of 2008, followed by Syracuse, N.Y., at $124,600, up 0.8 percent.

Midwest
In the Midwest, existing-home sales rose 3.2 percent in the second quarter to a pace of 1.06 million but are 5.3 percent below a year ago.

The median existing single-family home price in the Midwest was down 8.6 percent to $146,800 in the second quarter from the same period in 2008. After Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, the next strongest metro price increase in the region was in Bismarck, N.D., where the median price of $157,800 was 3.5 percent higher than a year ago, followed by Springfield, Ill., at $116,200, also up 3.5 percent, and Topeka, Kan., at $113,300, up 2.7 percent.

South
In the South, existing-home sales increased 3.9 percent in the second quarter to an annual rate of 1.76 million but are 7.2 percent lower than the second quarter of 2008.

The median existing single-family home price in the South was $158,600 in the second quarter, down 10.3 percent from a year earlier. After the Cumberland region of Maryland and West Virginia, the strongest price increase in the region was in Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas, with an 11.0 percent gain to $138,600, followed by, Jackson, Miss., at $140,100, up 8.2 percent, and Shreveport-Bossier City, La., at $146,800, up 3.0 percent.

West
Existing-home sales in the West declined 2.3 percent in the second quarter to an annual rate of 1.13 million but are 11.8 percent above a year ago.

The median existing single-family home price in the West was $212,600 in the second quarter, which is 26.6 percent below the second quarter of 2008. The best metro price performances in the West were in Kennewick-Richland-Pasco area of Washington, where the median price of $163,900 rose 0.3 percent from a year earlier, and Yakima, Wash., at $162,800, also up 0.3 percent. No other areas covered in the region reported increases.

Source: NAR

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Foreclosure Bargains Are Disappearing

August 7th, 2009 by Jason Robie | Comments Off | Filed in Real Estate News

From our friends at Realtor.com
Buyers of foreclosure have to be quick these days. Some houses go under contract fewer than 90 minutes after they are put on the market, says Brad Geisen, founder of Foreclosure.com.

“For every listing that comes out, we have 10 buyers,” says Cesar Dias, an associate with Approved Real Estate Group in Stockton, Calif.

Dias had 15 minutes of fame after introducing foreclosure sales tours last year. Now the tours are defunct because there are not enough homes to show. (more…)

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